Pixar had its worst opening weekend ever with ‘Elio.’ What happened?

Aliens may have embraced Elio, but earthbound audiences did not, marking the lowest opening weekend ever for a Pixar film and highlighting the challenges for original animated movies.
โElioโ hauled in $21 million at the box office in the U.S. and Canada through Sunday, according to studio estimates, falling short of Walt Disney Co.-owned Pixarโs previous lowest domestic opening, 2023โs โElemental,โ which made $29.6 million in its debut. (1995โs โToy Storyโ had a domestic opening weekend total of $29.1 million, not adjusted for inflation, though it was released ahead of Thanksgiving weekend and reached $39 million over that five-day period.)
The family-friendly film, which centers on an alien-loving boy who longs for a community that understands him, came in third at the box office behind Universal Picturesโ live-action remake โHow to Train Your Dragon,โ which maintained its grip on theaters, and Sony Picturesโ Danny Boyle-directed horror franchise revival โ28 Years Later.โ
โElioโ had strong reviews (84% โfreshโ on Rotten Tomatoes), but its soft opening underscores the postpandemic difficulty that original animated films have faced in attracting audiences, analysts said. The movieโs performance could also have been hurt by its timing โ the film was up against โHow to Train Your Dragonโ and the long tail of Disney live-action remake โLilo & Stitch.โ
โIt feels to me that itโs a good movie that got lost in the shuffle,โ said Eric Handler, media and entertainment analyst at Roth Capital. For families, he said, โthereโs only so many summer weekends a year, and you have to pick and choose which movies you do. โElioโ just got squeezed out.โ
Marketing may also have played a factor, with analysts noting that audiences may have been unfamiliar with the title, a critical issue especially for an original film with new characters. People grew up with Sonic the Hedgehog long before he got his own movie. A fresh story is a tougher sell with so many entertainment options out there.
Disney said in a statement that it was encouraged by the movieโs audience and criticsโ review scores and hopeful โElioโ would be discovered by families and moviegoers throughout the summer, similar to what happened with โElemental.โ Despite a disappointing opening-weekend haul, โElementalโ went on to gross $496 million worldwide, propelled by word-of-mouth reviews.
The company also said it would continue to take swings on original animated intellectual property so it wasnโt reliant only on sequels and existing franchises. Pixar plans to release another original animated film next year called โHoppers,โ about technology that helps humans and animals communicate, followed by a 2027 original film called โGatto.โ It also plans to release โToy Story 5โ next year.
While originals have had a harder time at the box office, animated sequels or films based on existing intellectual property have proved consistent hits. Films like Pixarโs โInside Out 2,โ Disneyโs โMoana 2โ and Universalโs โSuper Mario Bros. Movieโ each grossed more than a billion dollars in worldwide box office revenue, with Universal and Illumination Entertainmentโs โDespicable Me 4โ hauling in $969 million.
By contrast, Universalโs 2023 original animated film โMigrationโ brought in $300 million worldwide. Even the critically acclaimed DreamWorks Animation title โThe Wild Robot,โ which is based on a 2016 childrenโs book, grossed $333 million.
But industry insiders and analysts have said that focusing solely on sequels and reboots risks making the animation business stale and that fresh stories are necessary for the health of the industry.
โWe should celebrate when studios and production companies like Pixar and Disney take their best shot, create a really great movie โ an original film โ and with everyone decrying the lack of originality out there, at least they went for it,โ said Paul Dergarabedian, senior media analyst at Comscore. โIt will certainly be a big winner on Disney+. But thereโs no sugarcoating the fact that this was an incredibly low opening weekend for a Pixar movie.โ
Pixarโs track record with original animated films was nearly flawless for decades, with the occasional miss such as 2015โs โThe Good Dinosaur.โ
But the box office reception for its latest original films have been muted, largely because of the COVID-19 pandemic.
Pixar sent three of its original films โ 2020โs โSoul,โ 2021โs โLucaโ and 2022โs โTurning Redโ โ straight to Disney+ to give families something to watch during the stay-at-home orders. But as the pandemic waned, families were some of the last to return to theaters as they got used to the ease of watching animated movies at home and were concerned about the health implications of enclosed spaces.
The reported budget for โElioโ was between $150 million and $200 million, which compounds the opening-weekend problems for Pixar. That number doesnโt include the tens of millions of dollars that go into a global marketing campaign. Studios split box office revenue with theaters.
Disney has said animation budgets are higher for Pixar and Walt Disney Animation Studios films because the work is done in the U.S., as opposed to outsourcing overseas where the work is cheaper.
The low opening weekend may not be the end for โElio,โ even if โElementalโ-esque box office longevity is not in its future. The fact that โElioโ had a theatrical release bodes well for its eventual debut on the Disney+ streaming platform since it will benefit from the additional marketing, Dergarabedian said. And โElioโ could be incorporated into Disney merchandise and theme park events, which could boost its visibility.
โDisneyโs big enough and broad enough,โ he said. โโElioโ will be a well-received film thatโs absorbed into the Disney ecosystem.โ